Demographic Transition and Post-Transition Population Dynamics: A Revue of Micro and Macro Economic Models and Interactions

Autores/as

DOI:

https://doi.org/10.20947/S0102-3098a0323

Palabras clave:

Fertility, Demographic transition, Child quality, Extended margin, Intensive margin, Economic growth model, Unified growth theory, Human capital, Technological progress

Resumen

Esta revisión de la literatura contrasta los modelos microeconómicos de fertilidad durante los periodos demográfico y post-transicional, evaluando sus implicaciones para los modelos de crecimiento macroeconómico. Mientras que los modelos microeconómicos de la fecundidad hacen hincapié en la compensación entre la calidad y la cantidad de hijos durante la transición demográfica, el modelo de márgenes extensivos e intensivos de la fecundidad se aplica al periodo posterior a la transición, con implicaciones para la falta de hijos y el aplazamiento de la maternidad. El impacto de las micro decisiones sobre el crecimiento económico es más sustancial durante la transición demográfica que en el periodo posterior a la transición. Un crecimiento demográfico bajo o negativo durante el periodo posterior a la transición puede frenar el crecimiento económico.

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Biografía del autor/a

Eduardo L.G. Rios-Neto, Professor Visitante - Universidade Federal de Ouro Preto - UFOP

Professor Visitante de economia no Programa de Pós-Graduação em Economia Aplicada (PPEA) da Universidade Federal de Ouro Preto (UFOP). Presidente do IBGE de 27 de abril de 2021 a 31 de dezembro de 2022. Diretor de Pesquisas do IBGE entre 21 de maio de 2019 e 26 de abril de 2021. Membro da Academia Mundial de Ciências (TWAS) a partir de 2024. Membro titular da Academia Brasileira de Ciências (ABC), na área de ciências sociais, a partir de 2018. Possui Diploma da Ordem Nacional do Mérito Científico, Classe de Comendador, Ciências Sociais e Humanas, conferido pelo Ministério de Ciências e Tecnologia. Lecionou a disciplina "World Food Economy" (ACE251) no Department of Agricultural & Consumer Economics na Universidade de Illinois em Urbana- Champaign, entre agosto de 2016 e dezembro de 2016. Professor Visitante Lemann na Universidade de Illinois em Urbana-Champaign entre agosto de 2015 e maio de 2016. Professor Tinker na Universidade do Texas (Austin), lecionou  "Evaluation of Social Policy in Latin America" no período de janeiro a maio de 2006. Professor Titular Aposentado do Departamento de Demografia (lecionou entre 1980 e 2015) e pesquisador do Cedeplar/UFMG. Ex-Bolsista de Produtividade em Pesquisa do CNPq - Nível 1A. PhD em Demografia pela Universidade da Califórnia/Berkeley (1982-1987) e pós-doutor pela Universidade do Texas-Austin (1995-1996). Foi Chefe do Departamento de Demografia da UFMG entre 2009 e 2015. Coordenou o Programa de Pós-Graduação em Demografia do Cedeplar/UFMG de 1996 a 2000.

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Publicado

2026-05-09

Cómo citar

Rios-Neto, E. L. (2026). Demographic Transition and Post-Transition Population Dynamics: A Revue of Micro and Macro Economic Models and Interactions. Revista Brasileira De Estudos De População, 43. https://doi.org/10.20947/S0102-3098a0323

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